Club Friendlies 3
Jul 2, 2026 8.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Ukrajina
  • Tymur Stetskov 69' goal
  • goal Kislenko 53'
  • goal S. Kyslenko 53'

Karpaty Lviv vs Yarud Mariupol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 11.00am
Karpaty 1 - 0 Tianjin Jinmen

Yarud Mariupol

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 1.00pm
Rukh Lviv 0 - 2 Yarud Mariupol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 41.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.61% and a win for Yarud Mariupol had a probability of 29.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.78%) , while for a Yarud Mariupol win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.

Result

Karpaty Lviv 41.26% (+0.08)
Draw 29.61% (-0.02)
Yarud Mariupol 29.13% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.25% (+0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.38% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 31.62% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 42.7% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 57.3% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 21.22% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 78.78% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 10.78% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 89.22% (-0.18)

First Half Winner

Karpaty Lviv 31.31% (-0.15)
Draw 45.55% (+0.15)
Yarud Mariupol 23.14% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Karpaty Lviv 48.35% (+0.11)
No Goal 10.36% (-0.12)
Yarud Mariupol 41.29%

Corners

Over 8 56.96% (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 31.24% (+0.01)
Over 9 45.03% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 43.04% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 33.99% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 66.01% (+0.03)

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 1.5 36.31% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 63.69% (-0.25)
Over 2.5 13.87% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 86.13% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 4.28% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 95.72% (-0.10)

Yarud Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5 62.85% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 37.15% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 27.42% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 72.58% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 8.77% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 91.23% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 2.23% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.77% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Karpaty Lviv 41.26%
Draw 29.6%
Yarud Mariupol 29.14%
Karpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 12.02% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.95% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.46% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.21% (+0.09)
Total : 41.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.78% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.36% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.72% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.03)
Total : 29.6%
Yarud Mariupol
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 7.13% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.99% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.16% (+0.03)
Total : 29.14%