Club Friendlies 3
Jul 2, 2026 1.00am
Stadion Ukrajina

Karpaty Lviv vs Yarud Mariupol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Karpaty Lviv

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 11.00am
Karpaty 1 - 0 Tianjin Jinmen

Yarud Mariupol

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 28, 2026 1.00pm
Rukh Lviv 0 - 2 Yarud Mariupol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Karpaty Lviv win with a probability of 41.1%. A draw has a probability of 29.68% and a win for Yarud Mariupol has a probability of 29.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karpaty Lviv win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.8%) , while for a Yarud Mariupol win it is 0-1 (9.35%).

Result

Karpaty Lviv 41.1% (+0.11)
Draw 29.68% (-0.04)
Yarud Mariupol 29.21% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.67% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.91% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 32.09% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 42.12% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.88% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 20.89% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 79.11% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 10.56% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 89.44% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Karpaty Lviv 31.38% (+0.01)
Draw 45.53% (+0.03)
Yarud Mariupol 23.1% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Karpaty Lviv 48.2% (+0.05)
No Goal 10.53% (-0.04)
Yarud Mariupol 41.27% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.98%
Equal 8 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 8 31.21% (-0.01)
Over 9 45.05%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 43.02%
Over 10.5 34.01% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.99%

Karpaty Lviv Goals

Over 1.5 35.85% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 64.15% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.55% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 86.45% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.13% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.87% (-0.02)

Yarud Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5 62.66% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 37.34% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.75% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.67% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.2% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Karpaty Lviv 41.09%
Draw 29.68%
Yarud Mariupol 29.22%
Karpaty Lviv
1-0 @ 12.2% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.08% (+0.03)
Total : 41.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.8%
0-0 @ 10.53% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 29.68%
Yarud Mariupol
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.15% (+0.01)
Total : 29.22%