Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botev Plovdiv win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.88% and a win for Arda had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.41%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%) , while for a Arda win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.