Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botev Plovdiv win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.13% and a win for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.