Club Friendlies 1
AC Milan
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid
  • Samuel Chukwueze 55' goal
  • Samuel Chukwueze 55' goal
  • Adam Bakoune 86' yellowcard
  • goal Samuel Chukwueze 55'
  • yellowcard Adam Bakoune 86'

AC Milan vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 11.00pm
Man City 2 - 3 AC Milan

Real Madrid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

AC Milan 60.82% ▲ (+0.84)
Draw 19.72% ▼ (-0.30)
Real Madrid 19.47% ▼ (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.27% ▲ (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.57% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 2.5 33.43% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 3.5 44.78% ▲ (+0.71)
Under 3.5 55.21% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 4.5 26.11% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 4.5 73.89% ▼ (-0.61)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 89.28% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 10.72% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 1.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 1.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.90)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 0.5 30.25% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 33.57% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 66.42% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

AC Milan 60.82%
Draw 19.72%
Real Madrid 19.47%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 4.02% ▲ (+0.13)
4-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.12)
4-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.08)
5-2 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 60.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 19.72%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 3.88% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 19.47%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Real Madrid
Jul 24, 2023 3.10am
3
2
HT : 0 4
FT Rose Bowl
AC Milan
  • Federico Valverde 57' goal
  • Federico Valverde 57' goal
  • Federico Valverde 59' goal
  • Federico Valverde 59' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 84' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 84' goal
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 25'
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 25'
  • goal Luka Romero 42'
  • goal Luka Romero 42'
  • yellowcard Luka Romero 47'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Real Madrid
Aug 8, 2021 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 40'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Real Madrid
Jul 30, 2015 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Shanghai Stadium, Shanghai
AC Milan

Form Data

Man City 2 - 3 AC Milan
Rapid Vienna 1 - 1 AC Milan
Roma 5 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 3 Salernitana
Torino 3 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 5 - 1 Cagliari
Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Betis
Villarreal 4 - 4 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 5 - 0 Alaves
Granada 0 - 4 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Bayern

Build-up

Predicted Lineups