Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for FK Kosice had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest FK Kosice win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.