Aug 6, 2026 1.30am

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT Arena Pantanal

Juan Miritello 34'
Rodriguinho 44'
Maílton 70'
Lucas Emanoel 88'

José Manuel López 41'
Murilo 61'

Fortaleza vs Palmeiras - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions

L
D
W
W
W
W

Copa do Brasil

L

Last game

Aug 2, 2026 8.00pm

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Fortaleza

Palmeiras

All competitions

W
W
L
W
W
W

Copa do Brasil

W

Last game

Aug 2, 2026 8.00pm

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Fortaleza

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Fortaleza 37.99%

Draw 27.74%

Palmeiras 34.27%

Both Teams to Score:

52.41% ▲ (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.04% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 26.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 2.5 48.86% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 2.5 51.14% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 27.07% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 3.5 72.93% ▲ (+0.05)

Over 4.5 14.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 4.5 85.35% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Fortaleza 28.8% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 44.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Palmeiras 26.61%

Team To Score First

Fortaleza 46.71% ▼ (-0.01)

No Goal 8.1%

Palmeiras 45.19% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 63.51% ▼ (-0.11)

Equal 8 10.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 8 26.1% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 9 52.43% ▼ (-0.11)

Equal 9 11.08%

Under 9 36.49% ▲ (+0.11)

Over 10.5 41.57% ▼ (-0.09)

Under 10.5 58.43% ▲ (+0.09)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 1.5 37.37%

Under 1.5 62.63%

Over 2.5 14.74%

Under 2.5 85.26%

Over 3.5 4.77%

Under 3.5 95.23%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 68.45%

Under 0.5 31.55%

Over 1.5 34.15%

Under 1.5 65.85%

Over 2.5 14.1%

Under 2.5 85.9%

Over 3.5 4.62%

Under 3.5 95.38%

Score analysis

Fortaleza 37.99%

Draw 27.74%

Palmeiras 34.26%

Fortaleza

1-0 @ 9.75% ▼ (-0.01)

2-1 @ 8.69% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)

3-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.03)

3-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 4.43%

Total : 37.99%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.77%

0-0 @ 8.1%

2-2 @ 5.31%

3-3 @ 1.22%

Other @ 0.34%

Total : 27.74%

Palmeiras

0-1 @ 9.1% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 7.58% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)

2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 4.28%

Total : 34.26%

Head to Head

Aug 2, 2026 8.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Parque

Murilo 27'
Mauricio 48'
Jhon Arias 64'
José Manuel López 85'

João Ricardo 43'
Gabriel Fuentes 75'

Sep 21, 2025 1.00am

4

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 20, 2025 10.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Allanzinho 29'
Deyverson 70'

Facundo Torres 45'+4'
Jose Manuel Lopez 58'
Richard Rios 81'

Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Allianz Parque

Mayke 18'
Raphael Veiga 29'
Estevao Willian 57'

Eros Mancuso 24'
Hercules 39'
Moises 63'
Titi 72'
Pedro Augusto 88'
Juan Martin Lucero 90'+3'
Emanuel Britez 90'+6'
Pedro Augusto 90'+7'

Jun 27, 2024 1.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Juan Martin Lucero 9'
Juan Martin Lucero 9'
Pedro Augusto 12'
Pedro Augusto 12'
Juan Martin Lucero 47'
Juan Martin Lucero 47'
Emanuel Britez 67'
Emanuel Britez 67'
Bruno Pacheco 69'
Bruno Pacheco 69'

Rony 46'
Rony 46'
Anibal Moreno 57'
Anibal Moreno 57'

Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Bruno Pacheco 14'
Thiago Galhardo 20'
Calebe 70'
Marinho 90'+7'

Gustavo Gomez 59'
Raphael Veiga 66'
Mayke 74'
Gustavo Garcia 75'
Ze Rafael 77'
Abel Ferreira 90'+6'

Form Data

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Fortaleza

CRB 0 - 0 Fortaleza

Fortaleza 2 - 1 CRB

Nova Iguacu 0 - 1 Fortaleza

Manauara 0 - 1 Fortaleza

Fortaleza 4 - 3 Maguary PE

Palmeiras 3 - 0 Fortaleza

Vitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras

Palmeiras 1 - 2 Atletico Mineiro

Coritiba 1 - 3 Palmeiras

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Chapecoense

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Junior