Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 10, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium
  • Archie Brown 48' goal
  • Archie Brown 51' yellowcard
  • Kerem Aktürkoğlu 69' yellowcard
  • Mert Müldür 71' yellowcard
  • İsmail Yüksek 84' yellowcard
  • goal Bryan Cristante  39'
  • yellowcard Devyne Rensch  47'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante  86'

Fenerbahce vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions

Roma

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.78%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result

Fenerbahce 49.78% (-2.54)
Draw 23.75% (+0.61)
Roma 26.47% (+1.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87% (+0.79)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.61% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 23.39% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 54.29% (+0.70)
Under 2.5 45.71% (-0.70)
Over 3.5 31.36% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 68.64% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 18.58% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 81.42% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Fenerbahce 35.94% (-2.33)
Draw 39.05% (-1.23)
Roma 25.01% (+3.55)

Team To Score First

Fenerbahce 54.39% (-3.91)
No Goal 6.66% (+0.05)
Roma 38.95% (+3.88)

Corners

Over 8 50.48% (+3.49)
Equal 8 12.49% (+0.38)
Under 8 37.03% (-3.87)
Over 9 38.47% (+2.83)
Equal 9 12.01% (+0.67)
Under 9 49.52% (-3.49)
Over 10.5 27.91% (+2.06)
Under 10.5 72.09% (-2.05)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 1.5 48.18% (-1.00)
Under 1.5 51.82% (+1.00)
Over 2.5 23.45% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 76.55% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 9.29% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 90.71% (+0.60)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 61.12% (+1.94)
Under 0.5 38.88% (-1.94)
Over 1.5 29.38% (+2.24)
Under 1.5 70.62% (-2.23)
Over 2.5 10.85% (+1.38)
Under 2.5 89.15% (-1.38)
Over 3.5 3.38% (+0.38)
Under 3.5 96.62% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Fenerbahce 49.78%
Draw 23.75%
Roma 26.47%
Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 10.07% (-0.68)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.17)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.23)
Other @ 9.09% (-0.75)
Total : 49.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 6.66% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.21% (+0.38)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.2% (+0.15)
Total : 23.75%
Roma
0-1 @ 6.66% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 6.59% (+0.48)
0-2 @ 3.68% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.56% (+0.38)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.16)
0-3 @ 1.85% (+0.31)
Other @ 3.18% (+0.23)
Total : 26.47%