/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fqarlog.png)
-
Robin Pröpper
23'
-
Aske Adelgaard
28'
-
Daouda Weidmann
34'
-
Ramiz Zerrouki
58'
-
Daan Rots
66'
-
Matheus Silva
28'
-
Kady Borges
52'
FC Twente vs Qarabag FK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F07%2Fdaan-rots-6a68bc613d6a1434768181.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (5.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result
FC Twente
56.37%
▲
(+0.12)
Draw
20.46%
▼
(-0.09)
Qarabag FK
23.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
58.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
18.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
60.5%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
39.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
38.01%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
61.99%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
24.44%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
75.56%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
FC Twente
41.48%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
37.49%
▲
(+0.11)
Qarabag FK
21.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Team To Score First
FC Twente
61.98%
▼
(-0.12)
No Goal
4.54%
▼
(-0.04)
Qarabag FK
33.48%
▲
(+0.14)
Corners
Over 8
51.27%
▼
(-0.10)
Equal 8
10.71%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
38.02%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 9
40.84%
▼
(-0.09)
Equal 9
10.42%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 9
48.73%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 10.5
31.44%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 10.5
68.56%
▲
(+0.08)
FC Twente Goals
Over 1.5
56.08%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
43.92%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
30.49%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
69.51%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
13.14%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
86.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5
59.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
40.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
28.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
71.06%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
10.3%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
89.7%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
3.45%
Under 3.5
96.55%
Score analysis
FC Twente
56.38%
Draw
20.47%
Qarabag FK
23.2%
FC Twente
2-1
@
10.08%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 56.38%
1-0 @ 8.94% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 4.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 13.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 56.38%
Draw
1-1
@
9.42%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 20.47%
2-2 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 20.47%
Qarabag FK
1-2
@
5.73%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 5.21%
0-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.2%