Club Friendlies 3
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-
Serge Müller
2'
-
Daniel Afriyie
86'
-
Marin Ljubicic
41'
FC Aarau vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Aarau win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Aarau win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result
FC Aarau
48.97%
▼
(-4.28)
Draw
23.98%
▲
(+1.18)
Union Berlin
27.06%
▲
(+3.05)
Both Teams to Score:
58.88%
▲
(+0.75)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.3%
▼
(-1.02)
Under 1.5
19.7%
▲
(+1.01)
Over 2.5
58.51%
▼
(-1.71)
Under 2.5
41.49%
▲
(+1.71)
Over 3.5
37.63%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 3.5
62.37%
▲
(+1.43)
Over 4.5
23.41%
▼
(-1.67)
Under 4.5
76.59%
▲
(+1.68)
First Half Winner
FC Aarau
36.27%
▼
(-2.87)
Draw
39.7%
▲
(+1.42)
Union Berlin
24.04%
▲
(+1.47)
Team To Score First
FC Aarau
54.78%
▼
(-3.22)
No Goal
5.23%
▲
(+0.29)
Union Berlin
39.99%
▲
(+2.95)
Corners
Over 8
62.39%
▼
(-4.43)
Equal 8
10.79%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 8
26.82%
▲
(+4.15)
Over 9
50.99%
▼
(-4.29)
Equal 9
11.4%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 9
37.61%
▲
(+4.43)
Over 10.5
39.93%
▼
(-3.79)
Under 10.5
60.07%
▲
(+3.79)
FC Aarau Goals
Over 1.5
51.23%
▼
(-3.65)
Under 1.5
48.77%
▲
(+3.65)
Over 2.5
26.04%
▼
(-3.49)
Under 2.5
73.96%
▲
(+3.48)
Over 3.5
10.71%
▼
(-2.30)
Under 3.5
89.29%
▲
(+2.31)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5
64.68%
▲
(+3.10)
Under 0.5
35.32%
▼
(-3.09)
Over 1.5
33.19%
▲
(+2.59)
Under 1.5
66.81%
▼
(-2.60)
Over 2.5
13.11%
▲
(+1.41)
Under 2.5
86.89%
▼
(-1.41)
Over 3.5
4.44%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 3.5
95.56%
▼
(-0.61)
Score analysis
FC Aarau
48.97%
Draw
23.98%
Union Berlin
27.06%
FC Aarau
2-1
@
9.24%
▼
(-0.30)
1-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.41)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.63)
Other @ 10.39% ▼ (-2.39)
Total : 48.97%
1-0 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.42)
3-1 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.41)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.91% ▼ (-0.63)
Other @ 10.39% ▼ (-2.39)
Total : 48.97%
Draw
1-1
@
10.71%
▲
(+0.53)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.28)
0-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 23.98%
2-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.28)
0-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 23.98%
Union Berlin
1-2
@
6.3%
▲
(+0.51)
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.69)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.56)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.38)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.52)
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.69)
0-2 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.56)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.38)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.52)
Total : 27.06%