Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Áki Samuelsen 14' goal
  • goal Temirlan Erlanov 26'
  • yellowcard Galymzhan Kenzhebek 49'
  • yellowcard Islambek Kuat  90'+1'

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Faroe Islands

All competitions

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 0-1 (6.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result

Faroe Islands 50.75% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.41%
Kazakhstan 24.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.68% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 53.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 46.86% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 69.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.58% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Faroe Islands 35.26%
Draw 41.15%
Kazakhstan 23.6%

Team To Score First

Faroe Islands 53.99% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Kazakhstan 38.73% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.17%
Equal 8 9.29%
Under 8 26.54%
Over 9 54.19%
Equal 9 9.98%
Under 9 35.83%
Over 10.5 44.24%
Under 10.5 55.76%

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 1.5 48.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.6%
Under 3.5 89.4%

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5 58.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.31% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 26.46% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 73.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.2% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Faroe Islands 50.75%
Draw 24.4%
Kazakhstan 24.84%
Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 10.14% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.25%
2-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.54%
3-1 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35%
Other @ 10.19%
Total : 50.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96%
0-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.4%
Kazakhstan
0-1 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.44%
1-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.84%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT