FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Ince (43'), Campbell (89')
Duhaney (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Leyton Orient
49.69%	25.17%	25.14%

Both teams to score 51.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.72%

51.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88%

73.11%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34%

20.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.77%

53.22%

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83%

35.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08%

71.92%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 49.68%

Leyton Orient 25.14%

Draw 25.17%

Stoke City	Draw	Leyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 9.44% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 4.97% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.68%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.26% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leyton Orient

Stoke City

80.0%

Draw

8.9%

Leyton Orient

11.1%