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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 43.99% | 26.96% | 29.05% |
| Both teams to score 49.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% | 55.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% | 76.97% |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% | 25.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% | 59.96% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.55% | 34.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.84% | 71.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.75% 2-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.23% Total : 29.05% |