Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.