FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying

Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK

Westfield Lane Stadium

Badshot Lea
1 - 3
Cray Valley

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Badshot Lea and Cray Valley Paper Mills.

Form, Standings, Stats

Badshot Lea

Last Game: Badshot Lea 4-1 Balham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup

Cray Valley Paper Mills

Last Game: Cray Valley 1-5 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cray Valley Paper Mills win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Badshot Lea had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Badshot Lea win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cray Valley Paper Mills would win this match.

Result
Badshot Lea	Draw	Cray Valley Paper Mills
14.08% ( -0.05)	16.91% ( -0.03)	69.01% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 60.65% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.9% (

0.04)

30.09% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.69% (

0.05)

51.3% (

-0.05)

Badshot Lea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.86% (

-0.04)

34.13% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.18% (

-0.04)

70.82% (

0.04)

Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.07% (

0.03)

7.92% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.99% (

0.07)

28.01% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Badshot Lea 14.08%

Cray Valley Paper Mills 69.01%

Draw 16.91%

Badshot Lea	Draw	Cray Valley Paper Mills
2-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 14.08%	1-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 16.91%	1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.36% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.99% Total : 69.01%