Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Banbury United	Draw	Melksham Town
50.83% ( -0.55)	23.79% ( 0.08)	25.38% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74% (

0.06)

45.26% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

0.06)

67.6% (

-0.06)

Banbury United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.15% (

-0.18)

17.85% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.39% (

-0.32)

48.61% (

0.32)

Melksham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

0.42)

31.72% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

0.48)

68.14% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Banbury United 50.83%

Melksham Town 25.38%

Draw 23.79%

Banbury United	Draw	Melksham Town
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.83%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.79%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.38%