Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.