Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 15.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Sparta Prague win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.