Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Anderlecht

Fenerbahce
3 - 0
Anderlecht

Tadic (11'), Dzeko (42'), En-Nesyri (57')
Osayi-Samuel (29'), Amrabat (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Huerta (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Sunday, February 9 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 Antwerp
Sunday, February 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawAnderlecht
64.42% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)20.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.56% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.77% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.03% (0.012 0.01)41.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.012 0.01)64.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (-0.012 -0.01)12.31% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)38.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (0.066000000000003 0.07)39.82% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.059000000000001 0.06)76.49% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 64.41%
    Anderlecht 15.56%
    Draw 20.02%
FenerbahceDrawAnderlecht
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.02%
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.35% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.08% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.56%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Anderlecht

Fenerbahce
78.6%
Draw
17.0%
Anderlecht
4.4%
159
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2018 3.50pm
Group Stage
Fenerbahce
2-0
Anderlecht
Valbuena (71'), Frey (74')
Ali Kaldirim (60')

Bakkali (76')
Bakkali (79')
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
Group Stage
Anderlecht
2-2
Fenerbahce
Bakkali (35', 50')
Kums (45'), Saelemaekers (66'), Santini (68'), Bakkali (78')
Frey (53'), Ali Kaldirim (57')
Jailson (10'), Isla (27'), Skrtel (43'), Slimani (45'), Benzia (52'), Elmas (64'), Ali Kaldirim (90')