Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.42%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.