Conference League
Jul 28, 2026 6.00pm
5
2
ET Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
  • Baba Musah 56' yellowcard
  • Abdulrahman Taiwo 87' goal
  • Raki Aouani 92' goal
  • Raki Aouani 92' yellowcard
  • Iago Siqueira 105' goal
  • Reginaldo Ramires 109' goal
  • Caio 117' goal
  • goal David Babunski 17'
  • redcard Filip Najdovski 19'
  • goal Azer Omeragić  66'
  • yellowcard Cristian Fabbiani 70'
  • yellowcard Filip Duranski 105'+6'

Riga FC vs FK Vardar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
FK Vardar 2 - 3 Riga FC

FK Vardar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
FK Vardar 2 - 3 Riga FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.19% and a win for FK Vardar had a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%) , while for a FK Vardar win it was 0-1 (5.56%).

Result

Riga FC 55.61% (-0.01)
Draw 24.19% (+0.04)
FK Vardar 20.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.84% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.55% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.93% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 46.07% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 31.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.04% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.19% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.81% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Riga FC 40.54% (+0.04)
Draw 39.95% (-0.04)
FK Vardar 19.52% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Riga FC 60.77% (+0.06)
No Goal 6.19% (-0.01)
FK Vardar 33.04% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 60.85% (+0.15)
Equal 8 9.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.3% (-0.15)
Over 9 50.55% (+0.16)
Equal 9 10.31%
Under 9 39.15% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 40.54% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 59.46% (-0.15)

Riga FC Goals

Over 1.5 53.32% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.68% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 27.53%
Under 2.5 72.47%
Over 3.5 11.54% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 88.46% (+0.03)

FK Vardar Goals

Over 0.5 56.29% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 43.71% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.48% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.67% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 92.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.16% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.84% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Riga FC 55.61%
Draw 24.18%
FK Vardar 20.22%
Riga FC
1-0 @ 10.81% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.31% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.23% (-0.04)
Total : 55.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.31% (+0.02)
Total : 24.18%
FK Vardar
0-1 @ 5.56%
1-2 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.22%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Toše Proeski Arena
  • Mislav Matic 15' yellowcard
  • Diego Castañeda 28' goal
  • Gerson Rodrigues 66' goal
  • Filip Najdovski 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baba Musah 20'
  • yellowcard Orlando Galo 21'
  • goal Orlando Galo 35'
  • goal Iago Siqueira 39'
  • yellowcard Raivis Jurkovskis 43'
  • yellowcard Salah Oulad 52'
  • goal Iago Siqueira 81'