Conference League
Jul 28, 2026 6.00pm
Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs

Riga FC vs FK Vardar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Riga FC

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
FK Vardar 2 - 3 Riga FC

FK Vardar

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
FK Vardar 2 - 3 Riga FC

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Riga FC win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw has a probability of 24.16% and a win for FK Vardar has a probability of 20.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.11%) , while for a FK Vardar win it is 0-1 (5.56%).

Result

Riga FC 55.62%
Draw 24.16%
FK Vardar 20.21% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.86% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.43% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 22.57% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 53.88% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 46.12% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 31.95% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 68.05% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 19.2% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 80.8% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Riga FC 40.51%
Draw 39.99%
FK Vardar 19.5%

Team To Score First

Riga FC 60.72% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.2% (-0.01)
FK Vardar 33.08%

Corners

Over 8 60.7%
Equal 8 9.86%
Under 8 29.44%
Over 9 50.39%
Equal 9 10.31%
Under 9 39.3%
Over 10.5 40.39%
Under 10.5 59.61%

Riga FC Goals

Over 1.5 53.3% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 46.7% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 27.53% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 72.47% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.57% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 88.43% (-0.03)

FK Vardar Goals

Over 0.5 56.21% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 43.79% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.46% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 75.54% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 7.65% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.35% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.15% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.85% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Riga FC 55.61%
Draw 24.16%
FK Vardar 20.21%
Riga FC
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 11.27% (+0.03)
Total : 55.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.16%
FK Vardar
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.85% (+0.03)
Total : 20.21%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 22, 2026 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Toše Proeski Arena
  • Mislav Matic 15' yellowcard
  • Diego Castañeda 28' goal
  • Gerson Rodrigues 66' goal
  • Filip Najdovski 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Baba Musah 20'
  • yellowcard Orlando Galo 21'
  • goal Orlando Galo 35'
  • goal Iago Siqueira 39'
  • yellowcard Raivis Jurkovskis 43'
  • yellowcard Salah Oulad 52'
  • goal Iago Siqueira 81'