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Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 2
Fehervar

Dietz (14')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Zivzivadze (32'), Dardai (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between FC Koln and Fehervar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Petrocub 1-2 Fehervar
Thursday, August 11 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawFehervar
50.46% (0.146 0.15)22.53% (0.026 0.03)27% (-0.175 -0.18)
Both teams to score 62.04% (-0.26 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.273 -0.27)38.1% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.63% (-0.29 -0.29)60.37% (0.28599999999999 0.29)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)15.34% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)44.09% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.28% (-0.265 -0.27)26.72% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.02% (-0.349 -0.35)61.98% (0.345 0.34)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 50.46%
    Fehervar 27%
    Draw 22.53%
FC KolnDrawFehervar
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.53%
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Fehervar

FC Koln
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
Fehervar
28.6%
7