Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 6.00pm
0
0
ET Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu
  • Nikita Neskoromnyi 17' yellowcard
  • V. Varaksa 42' yellowcard
  • Vladislav Yatskevich 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoan Epitaux 12'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 77'

BATE Borisov vs AF Elbasani - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
AF Elbasani 1 - 1 BATE

AF Elbasani

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
AF Elbasani 1 - 1 BATE

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AF Elbasani win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a AF Elbasani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (7.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

BATE Borisov 25.53%
Draw 24.15% (+0.01)
AF Elbasani 50.28% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.79% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 26.8% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 48.51% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 51.49% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 27.24% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 72.76% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.23% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.77% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

BATE Borisov 17.06% (-0.02)
Draw 44.74% (+0.02)
AF Elbasani 38.19% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

BATE Borisov 31.76% (-0.01)
No Goal 8% (+0.02)
AF Elbasani 60.24% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 34.3% (+0.02)
Equal 8 10.92%
Under 8 54.79% (-0.01)
Over 9 25.08% (+0.01)
Equal 9 9.22%
Under 9 65.7% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 17.84%
Under 10.5 82.16% (-0.02)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 1.5 25.62%
Under 1.5 74.38%
Over 2.5 9.01% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.99% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.82%
Under 3.5 97.18%

AF Elbasani Goals

Over 0.5 76.06% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.94% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 45.45% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 54.55% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 21.59% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 78.41% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.77% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.23% (+0.05)

Score analysis

BATE Borisov 25.52%
Draw 24.16%
AF Elbasani 50.29%
BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 7.33% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.13% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 24.16%
AF Elbasani
0-1 @ 11.44% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.23% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 8.72% (-0.04)
Total : 50.29%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Elbasan Arena
  • Ardit Nikaj 45'+1' goal
  • Yoan Epitaux 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Zhurin 12'
  • goal Egor Rusakov 67'