Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 6.00pm
Mehdi Hüseynzad? adina stadionu

BATE Borisov vs AF Elbasani - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
AF Elbasani 1 - 1 BATE

AF Elbasani

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
AF Elbasani 1 - 1 BATE

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AF Elbasani win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for BATE Borisov has a probability of 25.53% and a draw has a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a AF Elbasani win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (9.36%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win is 1-0 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

BATE Borisov 25.53% (+0.05)
Draw 24.14% (-0.06)
AF Elbasani 50.33% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.77%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.71% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 48.64% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 51.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.3% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.7% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.27% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.73% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

BATE Borisov 17.07%
Draw 44.73% (-0.02)
AF Elbasani 38.2%

Team To Score First

BATE Borisov 31.77% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.98% (-0.03)
AF Elbasani 60.25% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 34.28% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.92% (+0.01)
Under 8 54.8% (-0.05)
Over 9 25.07% (+0.04)
Equal 9 9.22% (+0.01)
Under 9 65.72% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 17.84% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 82.17% (-0.02)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 1.5 25.62% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.38% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.02% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.98% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.82%
Under 3.5 97.18%

AF Elbasani Goals

Over 0.5 76.1% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.9% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.45% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.67% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.33% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.81%
Under 3.5 91.19%

Score analysis

BATE Borisov 25.51%
Draw 24.13%
AF Elbasani 50.34%
BATE Borisov
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.76% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.77% (+0.02)
Total : 25.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 24.13%
AF Elbasani
0-1 @ 11.39% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 9.36% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4%
Other @ 8.76% (+0.01)
Total : 50.34%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Elbasan Arena
  • Ardit Nikaj 45'+1' goal
  • Yoan Epitaux 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Zhurin 12'
  • goal Egor Rusakov 67'