Conference League
Jul 7, 2026 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Elbasan Arena
  • Ardit Nikaj 45'+1' goal
  • Yoan Epitaux 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrey Zhurin 12'
  • goal Egor Rusakov 67'

AF Elbasani vs BATE Borisov - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AF Elbasani

All competitions

BATE Borisov

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AF Elbasani win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.89% and a win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 25.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a AF Elbasani win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a BATE Borisov win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

AF Elbasani 48.45% (-0.17)
Draw 25.89% (+0.04)
BATE Borisov 25.66% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.13% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.73% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.27% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.7% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 23.78% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 76.22% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.26% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.74% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

AF Elbasani 34.74% (-0.02)
Draw 45.43% (+0.03)
BATE Borisov 19.83%

Team To Score First

AF Elbasani 58.72% (-0.08)
No Goal 9.33% (+0.02)
BATE Borisov 31.95% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 32.28% (+0.01)
Equal 8 10.77% (+0.01)
Under 8 56.95% (-0.01)
Over 9 23.36%
Equal 9 8.92%
Under 9 67.72% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 16.49%
Under 10.5 83.51%

AF Elbasani Goals

Over 1.5 42.34% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 57.66% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 18.5% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 81.5% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.59% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.41% (+0.05)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5 58.02% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 41.98% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 24.31% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 75.69% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 7.83% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.17% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.12% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.88% (-0.02)

Score analysis

AF Elbasani 48.44%
Draw 25.9%
BATE Borisov 25.65%
AF Elbasani
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.58% (-0.05)
Total : 48.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 9.33% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.9%
BATE Borisov
0-1 @ 8.51% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.84% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.13% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Total : 25.65%