Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
  • Mike van der Hoorn 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Eugene Ansah 7'
  • yellowcard Omer Atzili 54'
  • yellowcard Noam Muche 65'
  • goal Brayan Carabalí 77'
  • yellowcard Ziv Ben Shimol 90'+4'

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

All competitions

Beitar Jerusalem

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 37.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 2-1 (8.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

AEK Larnaca 37.55% (-0.10)
Draw 24.24% (-0.06)
Beitar Jerusalem 38.21% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.56% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.67% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 22.33% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 55% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 45% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 32.17% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 67.83% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 19.01% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.99% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

AEK Larnaca 24.38% (+0.08)
Draw 40.15% (-0.15)
Beitar Jerusalem 35.47% (+0.07)

Team To Score First

AEK Larnaca 41.19% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.09% (-0.05)
Beitar Jerusalem 52.72% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 50.34% (+0.09)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 37.8% (-0.08)
Over 9 38.94% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 49.66% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 28.86% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 71.14% (-0.08)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 1.5 39.15% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.85% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.9% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 83.1% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.16% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.84% (-0.01)

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 29.1% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 39.47% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 60.53% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 17.46% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 82.54% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 6.62% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.38% (-0.07)

Score analysis

AEK Larnaca 37.56%
Draw 24.24%
Beitar Jerusalem 38.21%
AEK Larnaca
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.53%
Other @ 5.96% (+0.01)
Total : 37.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.24%
Beitar Jerusalem
1-2 @ 8.34% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.8% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.14% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.42% (+0.06)
Total : 38.21%