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Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 17, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Famalicao logo

Estoril
2 - 2
Famalicao

Fonte (45'), Chiquinho (45+2')
Vital (30'), Franco (90+2'), Gamboa (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vital (42' og.), Banza (53')
Junior (13'), Penetra (21'), Ofori (63'), Pickel (90+2'), Riccieli (90+3')

Preview: Estoril Praia vs. Famalicao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to snap their three-game losing streak and move clear of the relegation places, Famalicao take a trip to the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota to face Estoril Praia on Friday.

This will be the first league meeting between the sides since they squared off in the Segunda Liga back in 2019 and both sides will be aiming to get one over the other.


Match preview

Estoril Praia's Rosier Loreintz in action on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Estoril Praia can be delighted by their performance in the top flight this season as they find themselves in fifth place in the Primeira Liga standings, one point behind fourth-placed Braga after 14 rounds of matches.

The Lisbon-based outfit, who finished first in the Segunda Liga last term, have picked up six wins and six draws so far, only suffering defeats against reigning champions Sporting Lisbon and Braga.

Their impressive start to life in the big leagues has been owing to their defensive sturdiness as they boast one of the division's meanest records with just 13 goals conceded.

Bruno Pinheiro's men head into Friday's game fresh off the back of ending their four-game winless run courtesy of a slender 1-0 victory away to struggling Belenenses.

In that encounter, 31-year-old forward Rui Fonte came up trumps for the visitors as he scored the only goal of the game on the stroke of half time to condemn O Belem to their seventh defeat of the season.

Meanwhile, Famalicao were left empty-handed for the third game running as they fell to a 4-1 defeat against Benfica last time out.

In a one-sided affair at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Uruguayan forward Darwin Nunez netted a hat-trick to inspire As Aguias to their 11th win of the season.

Prior to that, Famalicao saw their two-game winning run come to an end when they suffered a 3-0 defeat at the hands of Portimonense on November 27 before losing 4-0 against Gil Vicente one week later.

With 10 points from 14 outings, Ivo Vieira's men are currently 15th on the log, level on points with Santa Clara in the relegation playoff spot and two points above rock-bottom Belenenses.

Their struggles this term has been in no small part down to their defensive frailties as they boast the league's second-worst defensive record with 28 goals shipped so far.

Estoril Praia Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Estoril Praia form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Famalicao Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L

Famalicao form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L


Team News

Ivo Vieira, now in charge of Famalicao, pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Estoril Praia will be without the services of defender Lucas Africo, who sustained a season-ending injury in November's game against Vizela.

Other than that, Pinheiro has a full-strength squad at his disposal and following his side's impressive performance against Belenenses last time out, the Portuguese manager could name a similar side on Friday.

Should that be the case, we could see a front three of Xavier, Rui Fonte and Arthur Gomes, with Andre Franco, who has eight goal involvement this season, starting in midfield.

Famalicao, on the other hand, will take to the pitch without the services of Diogo Figueiras, who picked up an injury in the game against Gil Vicente on December 5.

Fellow countryman Heriberto Tavares hobbled off the pitch just 10 minutes into the game against Benfica last time out and the 25-year-old midfielder is out of contention for the visitors.

His replacement Ivo Rodrigues created Bruno Rodrigues's goal 15 minutes after coming on and the Olympiacos loanee could be rewarded with his sixth start of the season.

Estoril Praia possible starting lineup:
Silva; Soria, Farraresi, Patrick, Joaozinho; Loreintz, Geraldes; Franco, Gomes, Fonte; Xavier

Famalicao possible starting lineup:
Junior; Figueiras, Penetra, Ricceli, Marin; Pepe, Pickel; B Rodrigues, Brazao, Jaime; Banza


SM words green background

We say: Estoril Praia 2-0 Famalicao

Estoril Praia will head into Friday's game in sky-high spirits having ended their winless run against Belenenses last time out. In general, they have enjoyed a fine season so far and find themselves in the top five places on the log. Famalicao, meanwhile, have struggled to get going to date and we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:472894:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9380:
Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Estoril vs Famalicao

Estoril Praia
78.4%
Draw
13.5%
Famalicao
8.1%
37
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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