Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Nov 1, 2026 1.30pm
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

SBV Excelsior vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 11.15am
Sittard 1 - 0 Excelsior
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
David Garden

FC Twente

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 7.00pm
AZ 0 - 2 FC Twente
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Wout Weghorst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Twente win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw has a probability of 21.38% and a win for SBV Excelsior has a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%) , while for a SBV Excelsior win it is 1-0 (4.6%).

Result

SBV Excelsior 15.81% ▼ (-0.46)
Draw 21.38% ▼ (-0.24)
FC Twente 62.82% ▲ (+0.76)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.75% ▼ (-2.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.39% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 22.61% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 2.5 56.12% ▼ (-0.91)
Under 2.5 43.88% ▲ (+0.91)
Over 3.5 36.29% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 3.5 63.71% ▲ (+1.19)
Over 4.5 23.99% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 4.5 76.01% ▲ (+0.96)

First Half Winner

SBV Excelsior 18.34% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 34.22% ▼ (-0.81)
FC Twente 47.44% ▲ (+0.72)

Team To Score First

SBV Excelsior 30.36% ▼ (-2.00)
No Goal 6.49% ▲ (+0.08)
FC Twente 63.15% ▲ (+1.93)

Corners

Over 8 56.87% ▼ (-2.52)
Equal 8 11.15% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 8 31.98% ▲ (+2.41)
Over 9 45.6% ▼ (-2.38)
Equal 9 11.28% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 9 43.13% ▲ (+2.52)
Over 10.5 35.08% ▼ (-2.10)
Under 10.5 64.92% ▲ (+2.10)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 1.5 20.86% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 1.5 79.14% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 2.5 6.96% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 93.04% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 3.5 2.11% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 3.5 97.89% ▲ (+0.25)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5 84.46% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 0.5 15.54% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 59.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 40.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 33.37% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 2.5 66.63% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 3.5 15.85% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 3.5 84.15% ▲ (+0.43)

Score analysis

SBV Excelsior 15.81%
Draw 21.38%
FC Twente 62.81%
SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.19)
Total : 15.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 21.38%
FC Twente
0-1 @ 11.52% ▲ (+0.34)
0-2 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.66)
1-2 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 6.84% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 15.64% ▼ (-0.35)
Total : 62.81%

Head to Head

Eredivisie
Jan 24, 2026 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Sam Lammers 56' yellowcard
  • Marko Pjaca 56' yellowcard
  • Daouda Weidmann 74' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kjolo 85' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 85' yellowcard
  • Mathias Kjølø 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Carlen 46'
  • yellowcard Adam Carlén 46'
  • yellowcard Derensili Sanches Fernandes 65'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 65'
  • yellowcard Ilias Bronkhorst 66'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagre 76'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 76'
  • yellowcard Arthur Zagré 76'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 77'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Armantrading 89'
  • yellowcard Jerolldino Bergraaf 89'
Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Aug 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
  • Cisse Sandra 53' yellowcard
  • goal Daan Rots 2'
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 5'
  • goal Ricky van Wolfswinkel 13'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brenet 90'
Eredivisie Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2023 7.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT De Grolsch Veste
  • Manfred Ugalde 45' goal
  • Ricky van Wolfswinkel 59' goal
  • Gijs Smal 67' yellowcard
  • Robin Propper 77' yellowcard
  • Ricky van Wolfswinkel 80' goal
  • Younes Taha 85' goal
  • goal Troy Parrott 9'
  • goal Sven Nieuwpoort 13'
  • yellowcard Noah Naujoks 24'
  • redcard Arthur Zagre 24'
  • yellowcard Marinus Dijkhuizen 25'
  • yellowcard Couhaib Driouech 26'
  • yellowcard Siebe Horemans 57'
  • yellowcard Sven Nieuwpoort 59'
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Denilho Cleonise 1' goal
  • Christos Tzolis 8' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 62' goal
  • Vaclav Cerny 90'+2' goal