Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 2
Apr 6, 2025 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 1
Valerenga

Carstensen (77')
Christiansen (66'), Sandberg (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Riisnaes (45+1')
Sorensen (23')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Valerenga Fotball.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 0-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, March 30 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Valerenga 3-1 Viking FK
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valerenga Fotball win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valerenga Fotball win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawValerenga Fotball
35.27% (-1.469 -1.47)24.71% (-0.096 -0.1)40.03% (1.57 1.57)
Both teams to score 58.63% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (0.306 0.31)44.46% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (0.29499999999999 0.29)66.83% (-0.289 -0.29)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (-0.666 -0.67)24.67% (0.672 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (-0.942 -0.94)59.19% (0.94900000000001 0.95)
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.83% (0.923 0.92)22.17% (-0.918 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.43% (1.368 1.37)55.57% (-1.36 -1.36)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 35.27%
    Valerenga Fotball 40.03%
    Draw 24.71%
Sarpsborg 08DrawValerenga Fotball
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.286 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.185 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.117 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.21% (0.253 0.25)
1-3 @ 4.36% (0.21 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.09 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.121 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.107 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.03%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 27
Sarpsborg
3-2
Valerenga
Maigaard (7', 41'), Sandberg (30')
Inge Berget (47')
Ilic (26'), Kiil Olsen (81')
Bjordal (35'), Borchgrevink (42')
Apr 16, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 2
Valerenga
0-2
Sarpsborg
Fardal Opseth (60', 81')
Oct 29, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Valerenga
3-3
Sarpsborg
Eggen Hedenstad (19', 66'), Layouni (45+2')
Tibbling (4'), Maigaard (17'), Molins (68')
Jul 17, 2022 5pm
Oct 28, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Sarpsborg
2-1
Valerenga
Lindseth (81'), Muhammed (90+6')
Thomassen (33')