Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.