Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sandefjord would win this match.