Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 9.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Germán Valera 14' goal
  • Grady Diangana 83' goal
  • Fer Niño 90'+1' goal

Elche vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2026 9.30am
Elche 2 - 2 Cordoba

Toulouse

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 6.00pm
Al-Ain 0 - 1 Toulouse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Elche 45.54% (-0.25)
Draw 27.11% (+0.06)
Toulouse 27.36% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.86% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 26.14% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 49.27% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 50.73% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 28.95% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 71.05% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 16.24% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 83.76% (+0.38)

First Half Winner

Elche 38.06% (-0.11)
Draw 42.49% (+0.07)
Toulouse 19.45% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Elche 58.04% (-0.11)
No Goal 7.99% (+0.13)
Toulouse 33.97% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.92% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.34% (+0.01)
Under 8 35.74% (+0.04)
Over 9 39.91% (-0.05)
Equal 9 12.01%
Under 9 48.08% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 29.2% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 70.8% (+0.05)

Elche Goals

Over 1.5 43.44% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 56.56% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 19.42% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 80.58% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 7.06% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 92.94% (+0.22)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 62.87% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37.13% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.67% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 70.33% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.31% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.69% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.04% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.96% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Elche 45.53%
Draw 27.11%
Toulouse 27.35%
Elche
1-0 @ 10.84% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.05)
Other @ 6.94% (-0.21)
Total : 45.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.54% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 27.11%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 7.3% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.35% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.92% (-0.04)
Total : 27.35%