Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Den Bosch
58.49% ( 0.04)	21.13% ( 0)	20.38% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.63% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.14% (

-0.07)

38.86% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.82% (

-0.07)

61.18% (

0.08)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.95% (

-0.01)

13.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.38% (

-0.02)

39.62% (

0.03)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.43% (

-0.07)

32.57% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.89% (

-0.08)

69.11% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 58.49%

Den Bosch 20.38%

Draw 21.13%

Vitesse	Draw	Den Bosch
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 58.49%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.38%