Eerste Divisie Gameweek 15
Nov 15, 2026 1.30pm
De Geusselt

MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 3.45pm
Emmen 0 - 2 MVV
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont

Vitesse

All competitions
Last game
Nov 8, 2026 11.15am
Vitesse 0 - 0 De Graafschap
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Naoufal Bannis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitesse win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw has a probability of 22.71% and a win for MVV Maastricht has a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.27%) , while for a MVV Maastricht win it is 1-0 (5.64%).

Result

MVV Maastricht 22.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 22.71%
Vitesse 55.22% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.22% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.26% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 20.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 56.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 43.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 34.51% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 65.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 78.74% ▲ (+0.06)

First Half Winner

MVV Maastricht 21.88%
Draw 37.51%
Vitesse 40.61%

Team To Score First

MVV Maastricht 35.82%
No Goal 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Vitesse 58.51% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.31%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 27.22%
Over 9 49.27%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 38.69%
Over 10.5 37.74%
Under 10.5 62.26%

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 1.5 26.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.55%
Under 3.5 97.45%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5 81.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 54.41% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 45.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 28.21% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 71.79% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 12.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 87.03% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 22.08%
Draw 22.7%
Vitesse 55.22%
MVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 22.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.7%
Vitesse
1-2 @ 10.12%
0-1 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.73%
0-3 @ 5.44%
2-3 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 12.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 55.22%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie
Apr 17, 2026 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT GelreDome
  • Xiamaro Thenu 46' yellowcard
  • Elias Huth 65' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • Yuval Ranon 81' yellowcard
  • Mehdi Bouhekan 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilano Silva Timas 36'
  • yellowcard Jael Pawaridihadjo 60'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Ayman Kassimi 69'
  • yellowcard Mats Kuipers 69'
  • yellowcard Stan Van Dessel 73'
  • yellowcard Adam Zaian 80'
  • yellowcard Travis de Jong 90'+1'
Eerste Divisie
Oct 21, 2025 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Ilano Silva Timas 3' goal
  • Camil Mmaee 49' goal
  • Ilano Silva Timas 69' goal
  • yellowcard Valon Zumberi 37'
  • goal Marcus Steffen 82'
  • goal Naoufal Bannis 86'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 28
Mar 1, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT GelreDome
  • Irakli Yegoian 13' goal
  • Justin Bakker 28' yellowcard
  • Nino Zonneveld 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sven Braken 88'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 18
Dec 6, 2024 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT De Geusselt
  • Wout Coomans 14' yellowcard
  • Bryan Smeets 57' goal
  • Ozgur Aktas 68' yellowcard
  • Robyn Esajas 81' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Steffen 16'
  • goal Tomislav Gudelj 31'
  • yellowcard Anass Zarrouk 33'
  • goal Alexander Buttner 88'