Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.