Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 59.91%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 20.24% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 0-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (5.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.