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World Cup

Dominica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Windsor Park
Jamaica national football team

Dominica
2 - 3
Jamaica

George (82'), Jules (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nicholson (30', 79' pen.), Dixon (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Dominica and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guatemala 6-0 Dominica
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Jamaica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 16.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
DominicaDrawJamaica
59.27% (-0.055 -0.05)24.65% (0.004999999999999 0)16.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 40.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.83% (0.050999999999995 0.05)59.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.4% (0.039999999999999 0.04)79.6% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Dominica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)52.05% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.48% (0.094000000000001 0.09)49.51% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.68% (0.068 0.07)84.32% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dominica 59.26%
    Jamaica 16.07%
    Draw 24.64%
DominicaDrawJamaica
1-0 @ 15.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.83% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 59.26%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 6.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 16.07%

How you voted: Dominica vs Jamaica

Dominica
18.8%
Draw
18.8%
Jamaica
62.5%
16