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Dinamo Zagreb
Europa League | Qualifying Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadiom Maksimir
Sevilla logo

Dinamo Zagreb
1 - 0
Sevilla

Orsic (65' pen.)
Tolic (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Acuna (63'), Delaney (66'), Bono (87')
Delaney (90+1')

Preview: Dinamo Zagreb vs. Sevilla - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Dinamo Zagreb and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Europa League specialists Sevilla will endeavour to march on to the last-16 of the competition when they meet Dinamo Zagreb in the second leg of their playoff tie on Thursday night.

Julen Lopetegui's side arrive in Croatia with a healthy 3-1 lead from the first leg and aiming to keep their prospects of a domestic and European double alive.


Match preview

Dinamo Zagreb coach Zeljko Kopic on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Despite winning each of their last seven competitive fixtures in all tournaments before their journey to the Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Dinamo Zagreb were no match for their Spanish counterparts and are fighting an uphill battle to keep their Europa League run going.

After Mislav Orsic had cancelled out Ivan Rakitic's penalty, Lucas Ocampos restored Sevilla's lead just before the half-time whistle blew before Anthony Martial calmly slotted home his first Palanganas goal to put the tie to bed.

An all-action first half was followed by a relatively uneventful second 45, but that suited Sevilla down to the ground, and Dinamo Zagreb could not respond in league action as they played out a 0-0 draw with Lokomotiva Zagreb on Sunday.

Zeljko Kopic's side have never been eliminated at this stage of the Europa League before but must produce nothing short of a perfect performance if they are to have a chance of advancing to the last-16 for the second season running, although their recent home form makes for pleasant reading.

Indeed, the Croatian giants have won three and drawn one of their last four competitive fixtures on home soil and have conceded just one goal in that time, but such resolve may not count for much against the La Liga title-chasers.

Sevilla coach Julen Lopetegui reacts on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Every man and his dog is familiar with Sevilla's penchant for Europa League success at this point, and Julen Lopetegui will not allow any complacency to creep in as his side aim to finish the job at the Maksimir Stadium.

Los Palanganas would have inevitably been frustrated not to have progressed from their tightly-fought Champions League group, and there is also the small matter of the Seville derby with Real Betis to take into account this week, with their great rivals lying in wait on Sunday.

Lopetegui's men were frustrated at the weekend, though, as Martial left the field injured and Jules Kounde was sent off in a 1-1 La Liga draw with Espanyol, who equalised through Sergi Darder after Rafa Mir's first-half opener.

A six-point gap to Real Madrid at the top of the La Liga table is far from insurmountable, but another injury, suspensions and four draws from their last six in all competitions could yet lead to a hint of apprehension from Sevilla supporters, especially seeing as their side have failed to win any of their last four away from home.

However, Sevilla's 3-1 win in the first leg represents their third successive triumph against Dinamo Zagreb in all tournaments, with Samir Nasri scoring the only goal as Los Palanganas won 1-0 on the Croatians' turf during the 2016-17 Champions League group stage.

Dinamo Zagreb Europa League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L

Dinamo Zagreb form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Sevilla Europa League form:
  • W

Sevilla form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Anthony Martial poses during his presentation after signing for Sevilla on loan on January 26, 2022© Reuters

Dinamo Zagreb will have midfielder Josip Misic back at their disposal after the 24-year-old missed the first leg through suspension, and his return is timely after Arijan Ademi left the field injured on Sunday after a collision with Misic.

Luka Ivanusec's abdominal issue will also render him unavailable, while centre-back Kevin Theophile-Catherine is uncertain after picking up an injury in the first-leg defeat.

Kopic's defensive dilemma is not helped by Dino Peric's absence either, so midfielder Bartol Franjic could once again be forced to deputise in the back three.

As for Sevilla, Martial was withdrawn after 26 minutes against Espanyol due to a thigh problem, joining Suso, Erik Lamela and Karim Rekik - who was injured in the first leg - on the sidelines.

Kounde's red card in league action is inconsequential for the second leg, and Joan Jordan is back from a ban served in the first leg, but Diego Carlos, Thomas Delaney and Lucas Ocampos are one yellow card away from suspensions.

Marcos Acuna will make his return from a La Liga ban to take the place of Ludwig Augustinsson at left-back, and Martial's spot in the attack ought to be filled by Youssef En-Nesyri.

Dinamo Zagreb possible starting lineup:
Livakovic; Franjic, Lauritsen, Sutalo; Ristovski, Misic, Gojak, Bockaj; Juric, Petkovic, Orsic

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bono; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Ocampos, En-Nesyri, Mir


SM words green background

We say: Dinamo Zagreb 0-2 Sevilla (Sevilla win 5-1 on aggregate)

It would be fair to say that Sevilla do not arrive in Croatia with the wind in their sails, as injuries, suspensions and a spate of draws take their toll on Lopetegui's side domestically.

However, the Spanish giants needed no second invitation to stamp their authority on Dinamo Zagreb in the first leg and will expect to advance to the last-16 with ease in midweek.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:478791:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11851:
Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 48.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 1-0 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Dinamo Zagreb vs Sevilla

Dinamo Zagreb
15.9%
Draw
12.9%
Sevilla
71.2%
170
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