Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Genk had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.