World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 10, 2025 at 9pm UK

Estadio Antonio Manuel Berruezo

Cuba
1 - 2
Bermuda

Aguirre de Cespedes (59')
(25'), Matos (42'), (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Parfitt-Williams (6'), Lambe (74')
(25'), Lewis (45+2'), (76'), (90+4'), (90+4'), (90'), Parfitt-Williams (90'), Lee (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Cuba and Bermuda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-1 Cuba
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Antigua vs. Cuba
Friday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Bermuda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 6-1 Bermuda
Tuesday, November 19 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Bermuda vs. Cayman Islands
Thursday, June 5 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cuba win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Bermuda has a probability of 28.53% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Bermuda win is 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.92%).

Result
Cuba	Draw	Bermuda
49.02% ( -1.65)	22.44% ( 0.3)	28.53% ( 1.34)

Both teams to score 63.68% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.51% (

-0.45)

36.48% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.36% (

-0.49)

58.63% (

0.48)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

-0.72)

15.24% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.07% (

-1.37)

43.92% (

1.36)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

0.66)

24.85% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

0.92)

59.45% (

-0.93)

Score Analysis

Cuba 49.02%

Bermuda 28.53%

Draw 22.44%

Cuba	Draw	Bermuda
2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 4.06% Total : 49.02%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.44%	1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.53%