EFL Cup
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Selhurst Park
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen 37' goal
  • Jørgen Strand Larsen 53' goal
  • Daichi Kamada 72' goal
  • yellowcard Adilson Malanda 65'
  • yellowcard Myles Peart-Harris 83'

Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 2-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result

Crystal Palace 24.33% (+0.05)
Draw 23.68% (+0.45)
Middlesbrough 51.98% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.36% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 21.64% (-0.31)
Over 2.5 56.04% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 43.96% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 32.21% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 67.79% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 19.08% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 80.92% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 21.29% (+0.67)
Draw 38.03% (-1.68)
Middlesbrough 40.68% (+1.03)

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 36.15% (+0.18)
No Goal 6.06% (+0.09)
Middlesbrough 57.79% (-0.26)

Corners

Over 8 51.46% (+4.25)
Equal 8 12.3% (+0.48)
Under 8 36.23% (-4.73)
Over 9 39.52% (+3.42)
Equal 9 11.94% (+0.84)
Under 9 48.54% (-4.25)
Over 10.5 28.92% (+2.41)
Under 10.5 71.08% (-2.41)

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 28.75% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 71.25% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 9.9% (+0.52)
Under 2.5 90.1% (-0.53)
Over 3.5 2.83% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 97.17% (-0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 79.91% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 20.09% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 51.43% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 48.57% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 25.42% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 74.58% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 10.26% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 89.74% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 24.34%
Draw 23.69%
Middlesbrough 51.98%
Crystal Palace
2-1 @ 6.5% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 3.43% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.9% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 1.62% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.11)
Total : 24.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.06% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.67% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.16)
Total : 23.69%
Middlesbrough
1-2 @ 10.18% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 8.54% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 5.29%
0-3 @ 5.25% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.15)
Other @ 10.01% (-0.34)
Total : 51.98%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Oct 31, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • Lewis Wing 45' goal
Premier League
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yohan Cabaye 30' yellowcard
  • Patrick van Aanholt 34' goal
  • James McArthur 76' yellowcard
  • Joel Ward 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio 75'
Premier League
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Daniel Ayala 38' goal
  • Gaston Ramirez 60' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Benteke 17'
  • goal Wilfried Zaha 47'
  • yellowcard Joel Ward 82'
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 95'
Championship
Feb 16, 2013 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Glenn Murray 9' goal
  • Peter Ramage 48' goal
  • Glenn Murray 57' goal
  • Kevin Phillips 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rhys Williams 40'
  • goal Faris Haroun 80'
Championship
Aug 25, 2012 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Seb Hines 41' goal
  • Merouane Zemmama 52' goal
  • Adam Reach 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wilfried Zaha 43'
  • goal Jermaine Easter 56'
  • yellowcard Aaron Martin 88'
Championship
Feb 4, 2012 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tony McMahon 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kagisho Dikgacoi 44'