Copa Libertadores
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fcrulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fflalog.png)
-
Matheus Henrique
11'
-
Keny Arroyo
53'
-
Fabrício Bruno
66'
-
Artur Jorge
69'
-
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
30'
-
Lucas Paquetá
67'
Cruzeiro vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F03%2Fcruzeiro-forward-kaio-jorge-pictured-in-february-2026-susa-69cc31bbba4fe512511939.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-0 (10.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result
Cruzeiro
35.04%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
28.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Flamengo
36.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
49.48%
▲
(+0.10)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.19%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
29.81%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
44.34%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
55.66%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
23.35%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
76.65%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
12.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
87.6%
▼
(-0.06)
First Half Winner
Cruzeiro
28.6%
Draw
46.9%
▼
(-0.04)
Flamengo
24.5%
▲
(+0.04)
Team To Score First
Cruzeiro
50.64%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
8.93%
▼
(-0.05)
Flamengo
40.43%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
49.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Equal 8
11.45%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 8
39.01%
Over 9
38.59%
▲
(+0.05)
Equal 9
10.96%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
50.45%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 10.5
28.91%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 10.5
71.09%
▼
(-0.05)
Cruzeiro Goals
Over 1.5
32.71%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 1.5
67.29%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
11.8%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
88.2%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
3.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
96.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
68.22%
Under 0.5
31.78%
Over 1.5
34.11%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
65.89%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
13.34%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
86.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
4.07%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
95.93%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Cruzeiro
35.04%
Draw
28.24%
Flamengo
36.69%
Cruzeiro
1-0
@
10.55%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.04%
2-1 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 35.04%
Draw
1-1
@
13.26%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 28.24%
0-0 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 28.24%
Flamengo
0-1
@
10.3%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.69%
1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 36.69%
Head to Head
Brasileiro
Gameweek
5
-
Pedro
5'
-
Samuel Lino
65'
-
Jorge Carrascal
74'
-
Guillermo Varela
74'
-
Luiz Araújo
89'
-
Wallace Yan
89'
-
Jorge Carrascal
90'+8'
-
Francisco da Costa
60'
-
Matheus Cunha
62'
-
Wanderson
76'
-
Wanderson
78'
-
Keny Arroyo
86'
-
Japa
86'
Brasileiro
Gameweek
32
-
Marlon
51'
-
Marlon
51'
-
Lucas Villalba
73'
-
Lucas Villalba
73'
-
Gonzalo Plata
24'
-
Gonzalo Plata
24'
-
David Luiz
53'
-
David Luiz
53'
-
David Luiz
62'
-
David Luiz
62'
-
Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo
69'
-
Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo
69'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
80'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
80'
-
Alex Sandro
86'
-
Alex Sandro
86'
-
Agustin Rossi
87'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
90'+4'
-
Allan Rodrigues de Souza
90'+4'