Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Jordan Gibson 20' goal
  • goal Jay Stansfield 5'
  • goal Briar Bateman 59'

Crewe Alexandra vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Telford 0 - 3 Crewe

Birmingham City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 7.30pm
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Birmingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.24% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%) , while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Crewe Alexandra 26.38% (-0.11)
Draw 27.24% (+0.04)
Birmingham City 46.38% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.73% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.2% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 29.8% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 44.63% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 55.37% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 23.36% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 76.64% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 12.58% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 87.42% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

Crewe Alexandra 22.32% (-0.08)
Draw 42.51% (+0.05)
Birmingham City 35.17% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Crewe Alexandra 34.97% (-0.04)
No Goal 9.3% (+0.09)
Birmingham City 55.73% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 52.32% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.69% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.99% (-0.04)
Over 9 39.94% (+0.06)
Equal 9 12.38% (-0.02)
Under 9 47.68% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 28.93% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 71.07% (-0.07)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 1.5 25.97% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 74.03% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 8.09% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.91% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 2.01% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.99% (+0.04)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 74.56% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 25.44% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 41.14% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 58.86% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 17.13% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.87% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.23% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Crewe Alexandra 26.38%
Draw 27.23%
Birmingham City 46.38%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 6.53% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.12% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
Other @ 2% (-0.05)
Total : 26.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.3% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.23%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 12.24% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.76% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 4.12% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.76% (-0.04)
Total : 46.38%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Jul 19, 2025 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT