Copa Sudamericana
Aug 11, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw has a probability of 24.04% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta has a probability of 15.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.04%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it is 0-1 (6.32%).

Result

Boca Juniors 60.93% (+0.83)
Draw 24.04% (-0.04)
Deportivo Recoleta 15.03% (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.27% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.05% (-0.94)
Under 1.5 31.95% (+0.93)
Over 2.5 42.3% (-0.84)
Under 2.5 57.7% (+0.84)
Over 3.5 21.08% (-0.50)
Under 3.5 78.92% (+0.49)
Over 4.5 12.45% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 87.55% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 45.85% (+1.54)
Draw 39.64% (-1.05)
Deportivo Recoleta 14.5% (-0.49)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 64.71% (+0.20)
No Goal 9.72% (+0.34)
Deportivo Recoleta 25.57% (-0.54)

Corners

Over 8 58.64% (-0.96)
Equal 8 11.18% (-0.04)
Under 8 30.17% (+0.98)
Over 9 47.18% (-0.83)
Equal 9 11.47% (-0.11)
Under 9 41.36% (+0.96)
Over 10.5 36.37% (-0.66)
Under 10.5 63.63% (+0.66)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 49.04% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 50.96% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 23.4% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 76.6% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 9.22% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 90.78% (-0.21)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 45.26% (-1.50)
Under 0.5 54.74% (+1.50)
Over 1.5 13.62% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 86.38% (+1.02)
Over 2.5 3.07% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 96.93% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 0.56% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 99.44% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 60.92%
Draw 24.05%
Deportivo Recoleta 15.03%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 15.91% (+0.73)
2-0 @ 12.57% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 7.33% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.10)
Other @ 9.21% (+0.22)
Total : 60.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 9.72% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.05%
Deportivo Recoleta
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.55% (-0.09)
Total : 15.03%