Copa Sudamericana
Aug 11, 2026 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Tomás Adolfo Ducó
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 49' goal
  • Milton Delgado 51' goal
  • Ayrton Costa 59' yellowcard
  • Leonel Flores 62' goal
  • goal Pedro Ríos 5'
  • yellowcard Alexander Franco 33'
  • redcard Wilfrido Báez  45'+2'
  • yellowcard Dairon Mosquera 60'
  • redcard Dairon Mosquera 69'

Boca Juniors vs Deportivo Recoleta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.12% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta had a probability of 15.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 60.79% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 24.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Deportivo Recoleta 15.09% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.28% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 31.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 42.36% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 57.64% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 21.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 12.45%
Under 4.5 87.55%

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 45.68% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 39.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Deportivo Recoleta 14.59% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 64.6% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Deportivo Recoleta 25.66% ▲ (+0.09)

Corners

Over 8 58.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Equal 8 11.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 8 30.02% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 9 47.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.51% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 9 41.24% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 10.5 36.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 63.61% ▼ (-0.03)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 49.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 50.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.35% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 76.65% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 9.17% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 90.83% ▲ (+0.05)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 45.45% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 0.5 54.55% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 13.74% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 86.26% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 2.5 3.12% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 96.88% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 0.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 60.79%
Draw 24.14%
Deportivo Recoleta 15.1%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 15.88% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 12.52% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 60.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.14%
Deportivo Recoleta
0-1 @ 6.34% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.1%