Copa Libertadores | Final
Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Fluminense

Boca Juniors
1 - 2
Fluminense

Advincula (72')
Cavani (64'), Figal (68'), Langoni (94'), Saracchi (120')
FT
(aet)
Cano (36'), Kennedy (99')
Keno (67'), Kennedy (89'), Nino (105+7'), Cano (120')
Kennedy (101')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Estudiantes
Saturday, October 28 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%).

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawFluminense
45.31% (1.982 1.98)26.26% (-0.144 -0.14)28.43% (-1.842 -1.84)
Both teams to score 50.74% (-0.588 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55% (-0.276 -0.28)53.45% (0.274 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-0.234 -0.23)74.97% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (0.839 0.84)23.52% (-0.842 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (1.202 1.2)57.55% (-1.206 -1.21)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.34% (-1.516 -1.52)33.65% (1.511 1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.69% (-1.685 -1.69)70.3% (1.683 1.68)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 45.31%
    Fluminense 28.43%
    Draw 26.25%
Boca JuniorsDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 11.45% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.482 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.185 0.19)
3-0 @ 4% (0.324 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.104 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.31%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.267 -0.27)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.329 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.35 -0.35)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.204 -0.2)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Fluminense

Boca Juniors
40.9%
Draw
9.1%
Fluminense
50.0%
22