Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 63.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Goias had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.