Brasileiro | Gameweek 28

Oct 21, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
1 - 1
Goias

Clayson (46')
Rikelme (28')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guilherme (45+8' pen.)
Morelli (35'), Guzzo (72'), Tadeu (90+1')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Goias.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 0-3 Cuiaba
Thursday, October 19 at 12am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Goias

All competitions

Last Game: Goias 2-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, October 19 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Goias
56.74% ( -0.25)	25.32% ( 0.07)	17.95% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 41.96% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.01% (

-0.04)

59% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54% (

-0.03)

79.47% (

0.03)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.12)

20.85% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-0.19)

53.54% (

0.19)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.02% (

0.19)

46.99% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.53% (

0.14)

82.48% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 56.74%

Goias 17.95%

Draw 25.32%

Cuiaba	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 15.36% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.74%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 17.95%