CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 3.00am
Nicaragua National Football Stadium

Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 1.00am
Dominican Rep. 3 - 2 Nicaragua

Dominican Republic

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 1.00am
Dominican Rep. 3 - 2 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Nicaragua has a probability of 37.94% and a draw has a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Nicaragua win is 2-1 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.29%).

Result

Nicaragua 37.94% ▲ (+0.65)
Draw 22.99% ▼ (-0.19)
Dominican Republic 39.03% ▼ (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.78% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 18.22% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 2.5 61.36% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 38.64% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 39.18%
Under 3.5 60.82%
Over 4.5 24.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 75.34% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nicaragua 23.1% ▲ (+0.90)
Draw 40.66% ▲ (+0.32)
Dominican Republic 36.24% ▼ (-1.20)

Team To Score First

Nicaragua 40.85% ▲ (+0.83)
No Goal 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Dominican Republic 54.7% ▼ (-0.83)

Corners

Over 8 55.63% ▼ (-0.69)
Equal 8 11.35%
Under 8 33.02% ▲ (+0.70)
Over 9 44.26% ▼ (-0.64)
Equal 9 11.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 44.37% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 10.5 33.76% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 10.5 66.24% ▲ (+0.54)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 1.5 43.02% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 1.5 56.98% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 2.5 20.75% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 79.25% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 8.48% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 91.52% ▼ (-0.15)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5 72.88% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 0.5 27.12% ▲ (+0.56)
Over 1.5 43.27% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 1.5 56.73% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 2.5 20.83% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 2.5 79.17% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 3.5 8.29% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 91.71% ▲ (+0.19)

Score analysis

Nicaragua 37.96%
Draw 22.98%
Dominican Republic 39.04%
Nicaragua
2-1 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 8% ▲ (+0.18)
Total : 37.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 22.98%
Dominican Republic
1-2 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.14)
0-1 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.46% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.16)
Total : 39.04%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 1
Sep 25, 2026 1.00am
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Cibao
  • Heinz Mörschel 5' goal
  • Mariano Díaz 15' goal
  • Jean Carlos López 40' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 50' yellowcard
  • Dorny Romero 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Pablo Rosario 90'+7' goal
  • Pablo Rosario 90'+8' yellowcard
  • César García 90'+8' redcard
  • yellowcard Kadeem Cole 4'
  • goal Juan Luis Pérez 40'
  • yellowcard Jaime Moreno 60'
  • yellowcard Óscar Acevedo 71'
  • goal Byron Bonilla 84'
  • yellowcard Juan Luis Pérez 90'+2'
CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 22, 2023 2.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional Dennis Martinez
  • Juan Luis Perez 48' yellowcard
  • Juan Luis Perez 48' yellowcard
  • 52' goal
  • Marvin Fletes 54' yellowcard
  • Marvin Fletes 54' yellowcard
  • Henry Nino 65' yellowcard
  • Henry Nino 65' yellowcard
  • Junior Arteaga 83' yellowcard
  • Henry Nino 83' yellowcard
  • Junior Arteaga 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vasquez 8'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo Vasquez 8'
  • yellowcard Dorny Romero 48'
  • yellowcard Dorny Romero 48'
  • yellowcard Michael Sambataro 68'
  • yellowcard Michael Sambataro 68'
CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 9, 2023 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Olimpico Felix Sanchez
  • Jason Coronel 54' yellowcard
  • Edison Azcona 68' yellowcard
  • Edison Azcona 68' yellowcard
  • Cesar Garcia 80' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Belli Moldskred 37'
  • goal Matias Belli Moldskred 37'
  • goal Oscar Acevedo 42'
  • goal Oscar Acevedo 42'
  • yellowcard Henry Nino 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Henry Nino 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Miguel Rodriguez 52'
  • yellowcard Miguel Rodriguez 52'
  • yellowcard Jason Coronel 54'
  • yellowcard Jason Coronel 54'
  • yellowcard Josue Quijano 80'
  • yellowcard Josue Quijano 83'
  • yellowcard Josue Quijano 83'
  • yellowcard Ariagner Smith 88'
International Friendlies
Jan 27, 2022 1.00am