Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.74% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.95%) and 3-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%) , while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.