CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 14, 2026 9.30pm
Nu Stadium

Haiti vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Haiti

All competitions

USA

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a USA win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Haiti has a probability of 30.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Haiti win is 2-1 (6.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

Haiti 30.09%
Draw 23.12% ▲ (+0.02)
USA 46.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.64%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 20.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 58.47%
Under 2.5 41.53%
Over 3.5 36.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 63.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 22.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.09% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Haiti 24.74%
Draw 43.78%
USA 31.48%

Team To Score First

Haiti 40.64%
No Goal 5.34%
USA 54.02%

Corners

Over 8 37.01%
Equal 8 11.8%
Under 8 51.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 26.83%
Equal 9 10.18%
Under 9 62.99%
Over 10.5 18.71%
Under 10.5 81.29%

Haiti Goals

Over 1.5 35.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.56% ▲ (+0.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 77.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 76.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.3% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Haiti 30.08%
Draw 23.12%
USA 46.8%
Haiti
2-1 @ 6.78%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 30.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.12%
USA
1-2 @ 9.09%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.06%
1-3 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 3.76%
Other @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.8%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup Gameweek 3
Jun 23, 2025 12.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Tyler Adams 1' yellowcard
  • Malik Tillman 10' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 75' goal
  • goal Louicius Don Deedson 19'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 12, 2021 1.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Samuel Vines 8' goal
  • Kellyn Acosta 72' yellowcard
  • Gyasi Zardes 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Martin Experience 47'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 11, 2015 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gillette Stadium, Foxborough
  • Clint Dempsey 47' goal
  • yellowcard Jean-Michel Alexandre 23'
  • yellowcard Wilde-Donald Guerrier 34'
  • yellowcard Duckens Nazon 64'