Bahamas national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Oct 13, 2024 at 1am UK
Wildey Turf
US Virgin Islands national football team

Bahamas
3 - 1
US Virgin Islands

Adderley (13', 13', 23', 23'), Bain (30', 30')
FT(HT: 6-0)
Edgar (69', 69')
Liburd (34'), Liburd (34')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Bahamas and US Virgin Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bahamas 2-3 Barbados
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

US Virgin Islands

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 0-5 Barbados
Thursday, October 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 16.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-3 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Bahamas win it was 2-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
BahamasDrawUS Virgin Islands
16.27% (0.308 0.31)18.5% (0.188 0.19)65.23% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 60.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.75% (-0.3 -0.3)33.26% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.98% (-0.344 -0.34)55.02% (0.34800000000001 0.35)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.16600000000001 0.17)33.51% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.18 0.18)70.15% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41% (-0.196 -0.2)9.59% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.93% (-0.465 -0.47)32.08% (0.468 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 16.27%
    US Virgin Islands 65.23%
    Draw 18.5%
BahamasDrawUS Virgin Islands
2-1 @ 4.5% (0.072 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.51% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.92% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 16.27%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 4.42% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.05% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 2.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.9% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-5 @ 1.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 65.23%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 9pm
League C
US Virgin Islands
3-3
Bahamas
Henry (27'), Joseph (77'), Catone-Highfield (86')
Harris (34'), Ramos (40'), Bartsch (77')
St Fleur (2' pen.), Julmis (37'), Adderley (58')
Bayles (64')