CONCACAF Nations League
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Brandon Adderley
13'
-
Brandon Adderley
13'
-
Brandon Adderley
23'
-
Brandon Adderley
23'
-
Omari Bain
30'
-
Omari Bain
30'
-
Jannick Liburd
34'
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Jannick Liburd
34'
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Hasani Edgar
69'
-
Hasani Edgar
69'
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a US Virgin Islands win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a US Virgin Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-3 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Bahamas win it was 2-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result
Bahamas
16.27%
▲
(+0.31)
Draw
18.5%
▲
(+0.19)
US Virgin Islands
65.23%
▼
(-0.50)
Both Teams to Score:
60.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.75%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 2.5
33.26%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
44.98%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 3.5
55.02%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 4.5
26.28%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 4.5
73.72%
▲
(+0.31)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5
66.49%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
33.51%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
29.85%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
70.15%
▼
(-0.18)
US Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5
90.41%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
9.59%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
67.93%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 1.5
32.08%
▲
(+0.47)
Score analysis
Bahamas
16.27%
Draw
18.5%
US Virgin Islands
65.23%
Bahamas
2-1
@
4.5%
▲
(+0.08)
1-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 16.27%
1-0 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 16.27%
Draw
1-1
@
8.24%
▲
(+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.5%
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.5%
US Virgin Islands
1-2
@
9.66%
▲
(+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.06)
2-5 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 65.23%
0-2 @ 8.83% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.08)
1-4 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.06)
2-5 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 65.23%
Head to Head
CONCACAF Nations League
-
Naqwan Henry
27'
-
Zahmyre Harris
34'
-
Joshua Ramos
40'
-
Rakeem Joseph
77'
-
Axel Bartsch
77'
-
Gabriel Catone-Highfield
86'
-
Lesly St Fleur
2'
-
Peter Julmis
37'
-
Brandon Adderley
58'
-
William Bayles
64'