EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Oct 3, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
ET JobServe Community Stadium
  • Danny Cowley 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Ben Perry 56' yellowcard
  • Frankie Terry 68' yellowcard
  • Kien Connelly 76' yellowcard
  • Ronnie Harvey 80' yellowcard
  • Bradley Ihionvien 90' goal
  • goal Devante Cole 87'

Colchester United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Peterborough 3 - 1 Colchester

Luton Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 7.00pm
Luton 6 - 0 Ipswich Town U21

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Colchester United 34.76% ▲ (+1.58)
Draw 23.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Luton Town 41.49% ▼ (-1.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.03% ▼ (-0.34)

Goals

Over 1.5 79% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 21% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 2.5 57.01% ▼ (-1.36)
Under 2.5 42.99% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 3.5 33.56% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 3.5 66.44% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 4.5 19.9% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 4.5 80.1% ▲ (+0.44)

First Half Winner

Colchester United 28.72% ▼ (-1.34)
Draw 40.69% ▲ (+1.29)
Luton Town 30.59% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Colchester United 46.66% ▲ (+0.28)
No Goal 5.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Luton Town 48.02% ▼ (-0.33)

Corners

Over 8 54.32% ▼ (-2.08)
Equal 8 11.12% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 8 34.56% ▲ (+2.39)
Over 9 43.28% ▼ (-1.58)
Equal 9 11.04% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 9 45.68% ▲ (+2.08)
Over 10.5 33.16% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 10.5 66.84% ▲ (+1.03)

Colchester United Goals

Over 1.5 37.61% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 1.5 62.39% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 2.5 16.36% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 83.64% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 5.59% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.41% ▼ (-0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 74.21% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 0.5 25.79% ▲ (+1.17)
Over 1.5 42.87% ▼ (-1.67)
Under 1.5 57.13% ▲ (+1.67)
Over 2.5 19.6% ▼ (-1.68)
Under 2.5 80.4% ▲ (+1.69)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▲ (+0.60)

Score analysis

Colchester United 34.75%
Draw 23.76%
Luton Town 41.49%
Colchester United
2-1 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.14)
1-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.41)
2-0 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.63)
3-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.21)
Other @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 34.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.13)
0-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.76%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.34)
0-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.33)
0-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.59)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.53)
Total : 41.49%

Head to Head

League Two
Mar 30, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Tom Eastman 15' goal
  • Luke Prosser 27' goal
  • Ryan Jackson 53' yellowcard
  • Sam Walker 60' yellowcard
  • Mikael Mandron 60' yellowcard
  • Drey Wright 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Potts 40'
  • yellowcard Alan Sheehan 53'
  • goal Danny Hylton 88'
  • yellowcard Scott Cuthbert 90'
League Two
Aug 19, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alan McCormack 35' yellowcard
  • Dan Potts 40' yellowcard
  • Olly Lee 45' goal
  • James Collins 52' goal
  • Dan Potts 83' goal
  • yellowcard Lewis Kinsella 61'
  • yellowcard Frankie Kent 73'
League Two
Mar 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Chris Porter 4' goal
  • Chris Porter 31' goal
  • Tom Lapslie 69' yellowcard
  • goal Isaac Vassell 93'
League Two
Dec 26, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Hylton 23' yellowcard
  • James Justin 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Elokobi 23'
  • yellowcard Tom Eastman 60'
  • yellowcard Owen Garvan 69'
  • goal Craig Slater 83'
Championship
Dec 26, 2006 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin McLeod 23' goal
  • Chris Iwelumo 41' goal
  • Richard Garcia 59' goal
  • Chris Iwelumo 65' goal
  • yellowcard Markus Heikkinen 43'
  • yellowcard Rowan Vine 82'
  • goal Rowan Vine 85'
Championship
Sep 12, 2006 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Sol Davis 28' yellowcard
  • Sam Parkin 32' goal
  • yellowcard Richard Garcia 39'
  • goal Jamie Cureton 40'
  • yellowcard Chris Barker 61'