FIFA Intercontinental Cup | First Round

Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK

Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Al-Ain
6 - 2
Auckland City

Cardoso (6'), Baba Gassama (11'), Palacios (45+1'), Rahimi (78', 90+4'), Romero (90+2')
Palacios (57'), Sanabria (57'), Sanabria (58'), Lagos Giraldo (89'), Al Ahbabi (89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Lagos Giraldo (43'), Bevan (54')
Karim Traore (66'), Tieku (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Club World Cup clash between Al-Ain and Auckland City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

Last Game: Al-Ain 5-1 Yokohama
Saturday, May 25 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Auckland City

Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-0 Auckland City
Tuesday, December 12 at 6pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Auckland City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Auckland City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-Ain	Draw	Auckland City
46.35% ( -0.1)	22.19% ( -0)	31.46% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 66.61% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.54% (

0.06)

33.46% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.74% (

0.07)

55.25% (

-0.08)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

-0.01)

15.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.45% (

-0.02)

43.54% (

0.01)

Auckland City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

0.08)

21.59% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

0.13)

54.69% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Al-Ain 46.35%

Auckland City 31.46%

Draw 22.19%

Al-Ain	Draw	Auckland City
2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 46.35%	1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 31.46%