Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Shenyang Urban had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Shenyang Urban win was 2-1 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).